FIFA World Cup 2026
World Cup 2026 Predictions
Data-driven World Cup 2026 forecasts from Helga: score probabilities, most likely results, and SRF/20min tip recommendations. The model combines the current fixture state, confirmed results, public source signals, and provider scoring rules. It recalculates regularly; the longer note on data versus gut feeling is in the Helga blog post.
Predictions overview
- SRF points
- 738
- 20min points
- 495
- Hit rate
-
How this is calculated
- Exact: the final score equals the model's most likely score.
- Partially correct: the model's predicted home win, draw, or away win matches the actual outcome.
- Wrong: everything else.
- 75%
- Played matches
- 104
Upcoming matches
Score probabilities, SRF tips, and 20min tips update until each match starts.
No open matches in the published schedule.
Past matches
Published tips for locked or already played matches, with final scores and points added once results are available. The labels Exact, Partially correct, and Wrong show how the model prediction performed.
How this is calculated
- Exact: the final score equals the model's most likely score.
- Partially correct: the model's predicted home win, draw, or away win matches the actual outcome.
- Wrong: everything else.
Spain
1:0
Argentina
Final
Partially correct
SRF tip
1:0
+20 Points
20min tip
Spain
+40 Points
France
4:6
England
Third-place match
Wrong
SRF tip
2:1
+0 Points
20min tip
France
+0 Points
England
1:2
Argentina
Semi-final
Wrong
SRF tip
1:0
+2 Points
20min tip
England
+0 Points
France
0:2
Spain
Semi-final
Wrong
SRF tip
1:0
+0 Points
20min tip
France
+0 Points
Argentina
3:1
Switzerland
Quarter-final
Partially correct
SRF tip
1:0
+10 Points
20min tip
Argentina
+20 Points