FIFA World Cup 2026 Β· Group stage Β· Β· Houston Stadium

Netherlands – Sweden

5:1 Final score

Partially correct
xG 1.99:1.12 Confidence: Medium-high (61.0%) Weather: 30 Β°C, Rain 49%

The most likely result is 1:1 (11.1%) β€” the SRF tip 2:1 maximizes expected points across all likely outcomes.

Match overview

SRF tip

2:1
Points +6 Points

20min tip

Netherlands
Points +5 Points

Most likely scores

Rows: Netherlands goals Β· Columns: Sweden goals
\ 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 3.8 2.3
1 7.4 11.1 4.8 1.9
2 7.9 9.4 7.1 2.1
3 5.6 6.7 4.0 2.0
4 3.0 3.6 2.2
5 1.3 1.5
Rows: Netherlands goals Β· Columns: Sweden goals

Blue outline: most likely score 1:1 (11.1%).

Green marker: final score 5:1 (1.5%).

Hidden: results with 6+ goals per team (2.1%).