FIFA World Cup 2026 ยท Round of 32 ยท ยท Mexico City Stadium

Mexico โ€“ Ecuador

2:0 Final score

Partially correct
xG 1.07:0.69 Confidence: Low (43.9%) Weather: 16 ยฐC, Rain 97% Advancing chance: Mexico 63%

The most likely result is 0:0 (16.6%) โ€” the SRF tip 1:0 maximizes expected points across all likely outcomes.

Match overview

SRF tip

1:0
Points +12 Points

20min tip

Mexico
Points +5 Points

Most likely scores

Rows: Mexico goals ยท Columns: Ecuador goals
\ 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.6 9.9 4.2 1.0
1 16.0 14.3 4.8 1.2
2 10.0 7.3 2.7
3 3.8 2.8 1.0
4 1.1
5
Rows: Mexico goals ยท Columns: Ecuador goals

Blue outline: most likely score 0:0 (16.6%).

Green marker: final score 2:0 (10.0%).

Hidden: results with 6+ goals per team (0.1%).