World Cup 2026
FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round of 32 · · Toronto Stadium

Portugal – Croatia

2:1 Final score

Partially correct
xG 1.61:0.94 Confidence: Medium-low (54.4%) Weather: 32 °C, Rain 10% Advancing chance: Portugal 72%

The most likely result is 1:1 (13.0%) — the SRF tip 1:0 maximizes expected points across all likely outcomes.

SRF tip

1:0
Points +16 Points

20min tip

Portugal
Points +5 Points

Most likely scores

\ 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 4.7 3.0
1 10.2 13.0 5.1 1.7
2 10.0 10.0 5.0 1.5
3 5.7 5.8 2.9
4 2.5 2.5 1.3
5
Rows: Portugal goals · Columns: Croatia goals

Blue outline: most likely score 1:1 (13.0%).

Green marker: final score 2:1 (10.0%).

Hidden: results with 6+ goals per team (0.9%).